Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 4.638216 5.023145 5.439147 5.924613 6.478752 7.095383 7.838831
2025-04-06 3.925237 4.436552 5.027256 5.769484 6.690958 7.816681 9.327674
2025-04-13 3.490531 4.054726 4.735565 5.635220 6.821054 8.374911 10.647365
2025-04-20 3.206749 3.803744 4.548895 5.573865 6.993291 8.968716 12.091035
2025-04-27 3.062780 3.703938 4.529929 5.710790 7.428136 9.971031 14.342964
2025-05-04 2.943597 3.619917 4.515669 5.841313 7.858264 11.027422 16.958856
2025-05-11 2.794328 3.480762 4.409603 5.822258 8.051603 11.732882 19.156829
2025-05-18 2.657997 3.347499 4.297885 5.778283 8.192185 12.364795 21.407103
2025-05-25 2.499875 3.172953 4.112998 5.602797 8.091102 12.543051 22.749728
2025-06-01 2.373919 3.035837 3.972201 5.481556 8.063626 12.848156 24.488593
2025-06-08 2.295921 2.962060 3.918697 5.492201 8.263153 13.625604 27.712281
2025-06-15 2.251543 2.933608 3.929892 5.606887 8.661469 14.888723 32.912400
2025-06-22 2.137444 2.801528 3.781565 5.454691 8.566914 15.126102 35.385901
2025-06-29 2.034077 2.681365 3.646172 5.316211 8.487955 15.400767 38.263948
2025-07-06 1.943965 2.576460 3.528147 5.197348 8.431847 15.718647 41.574569
2025-07-13 1.875155 2.500269 3.450818 5.143026 8.498307 16.355106 46.741113
2025-07-20 1.848073 2.485963 3.471103 5.264170 8.945274 18.100603 58.993049
2025-07-27 1.821313 2.470437 3.487812 5.379484 9.398151 20.026669 75.796317
2025-08-03 1.771405 2.416210 3.436925 5.362660 9.552069 21.131401 90.050594
2025-08-10 1.720841 2.358707 3.377272 5.323819 9.649490 22.098746 106.040566
2025-08-17 1.652910 2.271011 3.262246 5.168637 9.450234 22.028339 112.731832
2025-08-24 1.597117 2.200868 3.174258 5.061251 9.356222 22.308725 124.498559
2025-08-31 1.564288 2.166417 3.145959 5.070685 9.553201 23.708162 156.183144